Liga F (W) · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 19:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Granad. Tenerife W vs Athletic Club W (Liga F (W), Monday, 2 November 2026) 47% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with Granad. Tenerife W 48%, the draw 28% and Athletic Club W 24%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | – |
| Both teams to score | 45% | No |
| Granad. Tenerife W win | 48% | Pick |
| Draw | 28% | |
| Athletic Club W win | 24% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 66% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 74% | |
| Goal in both halves | 47% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granad. Tenerife W | 8 | 75% | 50% | 63% |
| Athletic Club W | 8 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 66% | 72% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 35% | 37% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 74% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 44% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 47% | 54% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 41% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Granad. Tenerife W | 66% | 64% | 50 |
| Athletic Club W | 52% | 80% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 66% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Granad. Tenerife W season stats · Athletic Club W season stats · Liga F (W) table and form
League. Liga F (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 51% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Granad. Tenerife W 6 of 8 (2 of 3 at home), Athletic Club W 4 of 8 (1 of 3 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 57% and 51%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 48% and 46%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 48%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 48%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.39 (Granad. Tenerife W) v 0.88 (Athletic Club W) give 40%; 30% weight: 46%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 47%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.