Serie B · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 23:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Goias vs CRB (Serie B, Monday, 2 November 2026) 45% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with Goias 43%, the draw 29% and CRB 28%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | – |
| Both teams to score | 49% | No |
| Goias win | 43% | Pick |
| Draw | 29% | |
| CRB win | 28% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | |
| Goal in both halves | 52% |
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| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 66% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 31% | 28% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | 74% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 39% | 36% |
| Goal in both halves | 52% | 48% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 42% | 2nd 42% |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 67% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Goias season stats · CRB season stats · Serie B table and form
League. Serie B has had over 2.5 goals in 41% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Goias 12 of 34 (6 of 17 at home), CRB 22 of 35 (10 of 17 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 38% and 54%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 38% and 52%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 44%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 40% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 44%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.32 (Goias) v 1.01 (CRB) give 41%; 30% weight: 43%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 45%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.