Süper Lig · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 17:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor (Süper Lig, Monday, 2 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Gençlerbirliği S.K. 39%, the draw 27% and Alanyaspor 33%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | Yes |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. win | 39% | Pick |
| Draw | 27% | |
| Alanyaspor win | 33% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 68% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 80% | |
| Goal in both halves | 58% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 9 | 56% | 33% | 44% |
| Alanyaspor | 9 | 56% | 11% | 56% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 68% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 31% | 34% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 80% | 80% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 45% | 48% |
| Goal in both halves | 58% | 57% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 46% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 66% | 80% | 50 |
| Alanyaspor | 68% | 82% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 77% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Gençlerbirliği S.K. season stats · Alanyaspor season stats · Süper Lig table and form
League. Süper Lig has had over 2.5 goals in 54% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Gençlerbirliği S.K. 5 of 9 (3 of 5 at home), Alanyaspor 5 of 9 (3 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 54% and 54%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 54% and 51%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 53%.
Head to head. 2 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 53%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.34 (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) v 1.21 (Alanyaspor) give 47%; 30% weight: 51%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 52%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.