Liga I · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 15:30 UK time
CompactStats rates FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta (Liga I, Monday, 2 November 2026) 49% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with FC Voluntari 41%, the draw 29% and Farul Constanta 30%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | Yes |
| FC Voluntari win | 41% | Pick |
| Draw | 29% | |
| Farul Constanta win | 30% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | |
| Goal in both halves | 55% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Voluntari | 13 | 77% | 46% | 62% |
| Farul Constanta | 13 | 54% | 46% | 62% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 67% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 35% | 33% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 41% | 44% |
| Goal in both halves | 55% | 51% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 45% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Voluntari | 70% | 72% | 50 |
| Farul Constanta | 74% | 76% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 67% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: FC Voluntari season stats · Farul Constanta season stats · Liga I table and form
League. Liga I has had over 2.5 goals in 47% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. FC Voluntari 10 of 13 (4 of 7 at home), Farul Constanta 7 of 13 (3 of 7 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 57% and 49%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 57% and 47%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 51%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.28 (FC Voluntari) v 1.04 (Farul Constanta) give 41%; 30% weight: 48%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 49%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.