La Liga · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 20:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna (La Liga, Monday, 2 November 2026) 51% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with Deportivo La Coruna 52%, the draw 25% and Osasuna 23%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | – |
| Both teams to score | 56% | Yes |
| Deportivo La Coruna win | 52% | Pick |
| Draw | 25% | |
| Osasuna win | 23% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 82% | |
| Goal in both halves | 55% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 30% | 30% | 80% |
| Osasuna | 9 | 44% | 33% | 44% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 34% | 34% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 82% | 82% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 43% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 55% | 56% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 47% | 2nd 49% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | 68% | 86% | 50 |
| Osasuna | 72% | 76% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 66% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Deportivo La Coruna season stats · Osasuna season stats · La Liga table and form
League. La Liga has had over 2.5 goals in 51% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Deportivo La Coruna 3 of 10 (1 of 5 at home), Osasuna 4 of 9 (4 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 45% and 50%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 49% and 50%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 50%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.68 (Deportivo La Coruna) v 1.05 (Osasuna) give 52%; 30% weight: 51%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.