Primera A · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 01:15 UK time
CompactStats rates Deportivo Cali vs Chico (Primera A, Monday, 2 November 2026) 42% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with Deportivo Cali 66%, the draw 23% and Chico 11%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | – |
| Both teams to score | 43% | No |
| Deportivo Cali win | 66% | Pick |
| Draw | 23% | |
| Chico win | 11% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 64% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | |
| Goal in both halves | 50% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali | 34 | 32% | 12% | 41% |
| Chico | 34 | 47% | 21% | 24% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 64% | 67% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 28% | 32% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | 73% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 36% | 37% |
| Goal in both halves | 50% | 50% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 42% | 2nd 40% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali | 60% | 78% | 50 |
| Chico | 62% | 78% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 68% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Deportivo Cali season stats · Chico season stats · Primera A table and form
League. Primera A has had over 2.5 goals in 45% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Deportivo Cali 11 of 34 (5 of 17 at home), Chico 16 of 34 (9 of 17 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 38% and 46%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 38% and 45%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 42%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 17% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 41%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.72 (Deportivo Cali) v 0.52 (Chico) give 39%; 30% weight: 40%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 42%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.