FA WSL (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 14:00 UK time
CompactStats rates West Ham W vs Liverpool W (FA WSL (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 54% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with West Ham W 31%, the draw 26% and Liverpool W 43%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | – |
| Both teams to score | 55% | Yes |
| West Ham W win | 31% | |
| Draw | 26% | |
| Liverpool W win | 43% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 76% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | |
| Goal in both halves | 60% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham W | 6 | 67% | 17% | 50% |
| Liverpool W | 6 | 50% | 33% | 50% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 76% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 37% | 37% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | 76% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 44% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 60% | 58% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 42% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham W | 78% | 82% | 50 |
| Liverpool W | 78% | 76% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 79% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: West Ham W season stats · Liverpool W season stats · FA WSL (W) table and form
League. FA WSL (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 55% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. West Ham W 4 of 6 (2 of 3 at home), Liverpool W 3 of 6 (3 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 57% and 54%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 55% and 52%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 54%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 40% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 53%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.29 (West Ham W) v 1.56 (Liverpool W) give 54%; 30% weight: 53%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 54%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.