NWSL (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 22:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Washington Spirit W vs Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with Washington Spirit W 70%, the draw 19% and Chicago Red Stars W 11%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | – |
| Both teams to score | 49% | No |
| Washington Spirit W win | 70% | Pick |
| Draw | 19% | |
| Chicago Red Stars W win | 11% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 68% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | |
| Goal in both halves | 53% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Spirit W | 28 | 43% | 18% | 39% |
| Chicago Red Stars W | 29 | 55% | 34% | 31% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 68% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 36% | 38% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | 78% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 46% | 41% |
| Goal in both halves | 53% | 53% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 43% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Spirit W | 64% | 76% | 50 |
| Chicago Red Stars W | 66% | 86% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 74% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Washington Spirit W season stats · Chicago Red Stars W season stats · NWSL (W) table and form
League. NWSL (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 49% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Washington Spirit W 12 of 28 (5 of 14 at home), Chicago Red Stars W 16 of 29 (7 of 14 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 46% and 52%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 46% and 52%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 49%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 60% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 50%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.19 (Washington Spirit W) v 0.73 (Chicago Red Stars W) give 56%; 30% weight: 52%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.