Liga 2 · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 11:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Vizela vs Academica (Liga 2, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 46% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with Vizela 39%, the draw 28% and Academica 33%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | – |
| Both teams to score | 47% | No |
| Vizela win | 39% | |
| Draw | 28% | Pick |
| Academica win | 33% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 66% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 78% | |
| Goal in both halves | 54% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 66% | 66% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 26% | 27% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 78% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 41% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 54% | 51% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 45% |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 75% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Vizela season stats · Academica season stats · Liga 2 table and form
League. Liga 2 has had over 2.5 goals in 45% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Vizela 3 of 8 (0 of 4 at home), Academica 3 of 7 (2 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 43% and 44%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 43% and 44%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 44%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.28 (Vizela) v 1.15 (Academica) give 44%; 30% weight: 44%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 46%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.