MLS · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 21:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders (MLS, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 57% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with Vancouver Whitecaps 62%, the draw 22% and Seattle Sounders 16%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | – |
| Both teams to score | 56% | Yes |
| Vancouver Whitecaps win | 62% | Pick |
| Draw | 22% | |
| Seattle Sounders win | 16% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 77% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | |
| Goal in both halves | 64% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 60% | 37% | 50% |
| Seattle Sounders | 30 | 43% | 23% | 57% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 77% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 39% | 41% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | 81% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 52% | 51% |
| Goal in both halves | 64% | 64% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 44% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 80% | 82% | 50 |
| Seattle Sounders | 72% | 82% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 78% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Vancouver Whitecaps season stats · Seattle Sounders season stats · MLS table and form
League. MLS has had over 2.5 goals in 61% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Vancouver Whitecaps 18 of 30 (10 of 15 at home), Seattle Sounders 13 of 30 (5 of 15 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 61% and 51%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 61% and 54%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 58%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 58%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.96 (Vancouver Whitecaps) v 0.89 (Seattle Sounders) give 54%; 30% weight: 57%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.