Eliteserien · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 18:15 UK time
CompactStats rates Valerenga vs Tromso (Eliteserien, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 61% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with Valerenga 40%, the draw 23% and Tromso 37%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | – |
| Both teams to score | 60% | Yes |
| Valerenga win | 40% | Pick |
| Draw | 23% | |
| Tromso win | 37% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 77% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 83% | |
| Goal in both halves | 64% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 77% | 79% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 44% | 43% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 83% | 82% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 51% | 52% |
| Goal in both halves | 64% | 65% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 43% |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 85% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Valerenga season stats · Tromso season stats · Eliteserien table and form
League. Eliteserien has had over 2.5 goals in 62% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Valerenga 14 of 24 (8 of 12 at home), Tromso 11 of 23 (6 of 11 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 60% and 55%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 60% and 56%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 59%.
Head to head. 4 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 59%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.79 (Valerenga) v 1.73 (Tromso) give 68%; 30% weight: 61%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.