Vrouwen Eredivisie (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 15:45 UK time
CompactStats rates Utrecht W vs De Graafschap W (Vrouwen Eredivisie (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 66% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with Utrecht W 51%, the draw 22% and De Graafschap W 27%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | – |
| Both teams to score | 56% | Yes |
| Utrecht W win | 51% | Pick |
| Draw | 22% | |
| De Graafschap W win | 27% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 78% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 83% | |
| Goal in both halves | 62% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht W | 7 | 29% | 14% | 29% |
| De Graafschap W | 8 | 63% | 38% | 38% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 78% | 80% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 45% | 46% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 83% | 85% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 53% | 56% |
| Goal in both halves | 62% | 67% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 44% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht W | 76% | 74% | 50 |
| De Graafschap W | 75% | 88% | 8 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 89% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Utrecht W season stats · De Graafschap W season stats · Vrouwen Eredivisie (W) table and form
League. Vrouwen Eredivisie (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 66% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Utrecht W 2 of 7 (2 of 3 at home), De Graafschap W 5 of 8 (3 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 57% and 65%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 67% and 65%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 66%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2 (Utrecht W) v 1.4 (De Graafschap W) give 66%; 30% weight: 66%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.