NB I · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 17:15 UK time
CompactStats rates Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza (NB I, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with Ujpest 55%, the draw 22% and Nyiregyhaza 23%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | – |
| Both teams to score | 63% | Yes |
| Ujpest win | 55% | Pick |
| Draw | 22% | |
| Nyiregyhaza win | 23% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 85% | |
| Goal in both halves | 58% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ujpest | 11 | 55% | 36% | 73% |
| Nyiregyhaza | 11 | 64% | 27% | 73% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 40% | 39% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 85% | 86% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 51% | 49% |
| Goal in both halves | 58% | 59% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 46% | 2nd 46% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ujpest | 66% | 78% | 50 |
| Nyiregyhaza | 70% | 90% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 66% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Ujpest season stats · Nyiregyhaza season stats · NB I table and form
League. NB I has had over 2.5 goals in 59% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Ujpest 6 of 11 (3 of 5 at home), Nyiregyhaza 7 of 11 (5 of 6 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 58% and 60%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 61% and 59%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 60%.
Head to head. 7 meetings in 3 years, 57% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 60%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.1 (Ujpest) v 1.3 (Nyiregyhaza) give 66%; 30% weight: 62%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.