Primera · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 20:15 UK time
CompactStats rates U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile (Primera, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 54% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with U. Catolica 41%, the draw 26% and Universidad de Chile 34%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | – |
| Both teams to score | 55% | Yes |
| U. Catolica win | 41% | Pick |
| Draw | 26% | |
| Universidad de Chile win | 34% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 67% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | |
| Goal in both halves | 53% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Catolica | 23 | 74% | 43% | 65% |
| Universidad de Chile | 24 | 54% | 25% | 46% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 67% | 68% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 34% | 32% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | 82% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 44% | 46% |
| Goal in both halves | 53% | 54% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 48% | 2nd 51% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| U. Catolica | 76% | 80% | 50 |
| Universidad de Chile | 58% | 80% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 74% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: U. Catolica season stats · Universidad de Chile season stats · Primera table and form
League. Primera has had over 2.5 goals in 52% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. U. Catolica 17 of 23 (9 of 11 at home), Universidad de Chile 13 of 24 (6 of 12 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 63% and 53%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 56% and 52%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 54%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 54%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.5 (U. Catolica) v 1.35 (Universidad de Chile) give 54%; 30% weight: 54%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.