Segunda · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 20:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Tenerife vs FC Andorra (Segunda, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 48% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with Tenerife 36%, the draw 28% and FC Andorra 35%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | – |
| Both teams to score | 54% | Yes |
| Tenerife win | 36% | Pick |
| Draw | 28% | |
| FC Andorra win | 35% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 68% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | |
| Goal in both halves | 51% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | 10 | 30% | 30% | 60% |
| FC Andorra | 10 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 68% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 31% | 34% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 42% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 51% | 52% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 45% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | 66% | 74% | 50 |
| FC Andorra | 70% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 71% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Tenerife season stats · FC Andorra season stats · Segunda table and form
League. Segunda has had over 2.5 goals in 50% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Tenerife 3 of 10 (0 of 5 at home), FC Andorra 5 of 10 (2 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 44% and 50%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 44% and 51%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 48%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.23 (Tenerife) v 1.21 (FC Andorra) give 44%; 30% weight: 47%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 48%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.