Canadian Premier League · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 21:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Supra Du Quebec vs Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with Supra Du Quebec 31%, the draw 25% and Cavalry FC 44%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | – |
| Both teams to score | 59% | Yes |
| Supra Du Quebec win | 31% | |
| Draw | 25% | |
| Cavalry FC win | 44% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 71% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 83% | |
| Goal in both halves | 58% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supra Du Quebec | 28 | 64% | 39% | 68% |
| Cavalry FC | 28 | 54% | 36% | 54% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 71% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 34% | 34% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 83% | 82% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 56% | 54% |
| Goal in both halves | 58% | 64% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 48% | 2nd 47% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supra Du Quebec | 68% | 89% | 28 |
| Cavalry FC | 62% | 82% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 70% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Supra Du Quebec season stats · Cavalry FC season stats · Canadian Premier League table and form
League. Canadian Premier League has had over 2.5 goals in 59% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Supra Du Quebec 18 of 28 (8 of 14 at home), Cavalry FC 15 of 28 (7 of 14 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 62% and 56%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 62% and 57%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 59%.
Head to head. 4 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 59%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.27 (Supra Du Quebec) v 1.57 (Cavalry FC) give 54%; 30% weight: 57%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.