Pro League · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 15:00 UK time
CompactStats rates St. Truiden vs OH Leuven (Pro League, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 51% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with St. Truiden 56%, the draw 24% and OH Leuven 19%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | Yes |
| St. Truiden win | 56% | Pick |
| Draw | 24% | |
| OH Leuven win | 19% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 78% | |
| Goal in both halves | 53% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | 8 | 63% | 50% | 50% |
| OH Leuven | 8 | 50% | 13% | 50% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | 72% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 35% | 36% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 78% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 49% | 46% |
| Goal in both halves | 53% | 56% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 41% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | 74% | 84% | 50 |
| OH Leuven | 60% | 76% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 79% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: St. Truiden season stats · OH Leuven season stats · Pro League table and form
League. Pro League has had over 2.5 goals in 52% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. St. Truiden 5 of 8 (2 of 4 at home), OH Leuven 4 of 8 (2 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 54% and 51%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 54% and 49%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 51%.
Head to head. 7 meetings in 3 years, 43% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 51%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.74 (St. Truiden) v 0.91 (OH Leuven) give 50%; 30% weight: 50%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 51%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.