1. Lig · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 10:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Sivasspor vs Boluspor (1. Lig, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with Sivasspor 62%, the draw 22% and Boluspor 16%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | – |
| Sivasspor win | 62% | Pick |
| Draw | 22% | |
| Boluspor win | 16% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 71% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | |
| Goal in both halves | 54% |
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| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 71% | 71% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 36% | 37% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | 80% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 43% | 50% |
| Goal in both halves | 54% | 58% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 44% |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 72% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Sivasspor season stats · Boluspor season stats · 1. Lig table and form
League. 1. Lig has had over 2.5 goals in 52% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Sivasspor 5 of 11 (3 of 6 at home), Boluspor 5 of 11 (2 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 50% and 50%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 47% and 52%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 50%.
Head to head. 2 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 50%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.96 (Sivasspor) v 0.89 (Boluspor) give 54%; 30% weight: 51%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 52%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.