League One · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 14:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool (League One, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Sheffield Wednesday 69%, the draw 20% and Blackpool 11%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | Yes |
| Sheffield Wednesday win | 69% | Pick |
| Draw | 20% | |
| Blackpool win | 11% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | |
| Goal in both halves | 56% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday | 10 | 60% | 30% | 50% |
| Blackpool | 10 | 60% | 40% | 60% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 32% | 31% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | 82% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 43% | 44% |
| Goal in both halves | 56% | 57% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 46% | 2nd 47% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday | 66% | 76% | 50 |
| Blackpool | 72% | 86% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 67% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Sheffield Wednesday season stats · Blackpool season stats · League One table and form
League. League One has had over 2.5 goals in 52% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Sheffield Wednesday 6 of 10 (2 of 5 at home), Blackpool 6 of 10 (3 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 54% and 54%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 52% and 51%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 52%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.03 (Sheffield Wednesday) v 0.68 (Blackpool) give 51%; 30% weight: 51%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 52%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.