3. Liga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 15:30 UK time
CompactStats rates SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen (3. Liga, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 67% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 32%, the draw 22% and Rot-Weiß Essen 46%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | Over |
| Both teams to score | 65% | Yes |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win | 32% | |
| Draw | 22% | |
| Rot-Weiß Essen win | 46% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 78% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 83% | |
| Goal in both halves | 66% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 11 | 55% | 45% | 64% |
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 11 | 36% | 27% | 45% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 78% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 44% | 44% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 83% | 82% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 61% | 53% |
| Goal in both halves | 66% | 64% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 43% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 85% | 90% | 48 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 74% | 80% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 79% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach season stats · Rot-Weiß Essen season stats · 3. Liga table and form
League. 3. Liga has had over 2.5 goals in 64% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 6 of 11 (2 of 6 at home), Rot-Weiß Essen 4 of 11 (3 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 61% and 55%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 68% and 62%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 65%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.69 (SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach) v 2.05 (Rot-Weiß Essen) give 72%; 30% weight: 67%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.