Liga F (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 18:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W (Liga F (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 59% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with Sevilla W 18%, the draw 18% and Real Madrid W 65%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | – |
| Both teams to score | 50% | No |
| Sevilla W win | 18% | |
| Draw | 18% | |
| Real Madrid W win | 65% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 72% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | |
| Goal in both halves | 54% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla W | 8 | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Real Madrid W | 8 | 75% | 75% | 63% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 72% | 72% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 38% | 37% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 46% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 54% | 54% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 41% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla W | 68% | 70% | 50 |
| Real Madrid W | 76% | 78% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 67% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Sevilla W season stats · Real Madrid W season stats · Liga F (W) table and form
League. Liga F (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 51% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Sevilla W 3 of 8 (2 of 3 at home), Real Madrid W 6 of 8 (2 of 3 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 48% and 57%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 50% and 56%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 53%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 52%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.34 (Sevilla W) v 2.63 (Real Madrid W) give 76%; 30% weight: 59%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.