NWSL (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 22:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Seattle Reign FC W vs Orlando Pride W (NWSL (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Seattle Reign FC W 45%, the draw 30% and Orlando Pride W 25%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | Yes |
| Seattle Reign FC W win | 45% | Pick |
| Draw | 30% | |
| Orlando Pride W win | 25% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 68% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | |
| Goal in both halves | 51% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Reign FC W | 29 | 48% | 21% | 45% |
| Orlando Pride W | 28 | 68% | 36% | 61% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 68% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 35% | 38% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | 78% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 40% | 41% |
| Goal in both halves | 51% | 53% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 43% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Reign FC W | 66% | 72% | 50 |
| Orlando Pride W | 66% | 80% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 74% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Seattle Reign FC W season stats · Orlando Pride W season stats · NWSL (W) table and form
League. NWSL (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 49% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Seattle Reign FC W 14 of 29 (4 of 14 at home), Orlando Pride W 19 of 28 (9 of 14 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 48% and 59%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 47% and 53%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 50%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 50%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.22 (Seattle Reign FC W) v 0.84 (Orlando Pride W) give 34%; 30% weight: 45%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 46%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.