Serie A (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 14:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Roma W vs Napoli W (Serie A (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 56% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with Roma W 54%, the draw 22% and Napoli W 24%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | – |
| Both teams to score | 54% | Yes |
| Roma W win | 54% | Pick |
| Draw | 22% | |
| Napoli W win | 24% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | |
| Goal in both halves | 57% |
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| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | 68% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 34% | 32% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 43% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 57% | 53% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 44% |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 74% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Roma W season stats · Napoli W season stats · Serie A (W) table and form
League. Serie A (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 51% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Roma W 3 of 3 (2 of 2 at home), Napoli W 3 of 3 (2 of 2 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 56% and 56%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 51% and 49%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 50%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 83% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 52%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.08 (Roma W) v 1.34 (Napoli W) give 67%; 30% weight: 56%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.