Super Liga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 17:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Radnicki NIS vs Železničar Pančevo (Super Liga, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 51% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with Radnicki NIS 30%, the draw 26% and Železničar Pančevo 44%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | Yes |
| Radnicki NIS win | 30% | |
| Draw | 26% | |
| Železničar Pančevo win | 44% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | |
| Goal in both halves | 55% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radnicki NIS | 12 | 42% | 17% | 33% |
| Železničar Pančevo | 12 | 50% | 17% | 42% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 71% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 32% | 33% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | 72% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 38% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 55% | 54% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 42% | 2nd 40% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Radnicki NIS | 68% | 86% | 50 |
| Železničar Pančevo | 66% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 74% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Radnicki NIS season stats · Železničar Pančevo season stats · Super Liga table and form
League. Super Liga has had over 2.5 goals in 50% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Radnicki NIS 5 of 12 (2 of 5 at home), Železničar Pančevo 6 of 12 (2 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 47% and 50%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 49% and 47%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 49%.
Head to head. 9 meetings in 3 years, 56% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 49%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.22 (Radnicki NIS) v 1.55 (Železničar Pančevo) give 52%; 30% weight: 50%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 51%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.