Super Liga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 17:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Radnicki 1923 vs Novi Pazar (Super Liga, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 45% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with Radnicki 1923 48%, the draw 29% and Novi Pazar 23%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | – |
| Both teams to score | 47% | No |
| Radnicki 1923 win | 48% | Pick |
| Draw | 29% | |
| Novi Pazar win | 23% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 72% | |
| Goal in both halves | 55% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radnicki 1923 | 12 | 50% | 17% | 25% |
| Novi Pazar | 13 | 23% | 15% | 38% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | 71% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 32% | 33% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 72% | 72% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 37% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 55% | 54% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 42% | 2nd 40% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Radnicki 1923 | 70% | 66% | 50 |
| Novi Pazar | 70% | 78% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 74% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Radnicki 1923 season stats · Novi Pazar season stats · Super Liga table and form
League. Super Liga has had over 2.5 goals in 50% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Radnicki 1923 6 of 12 (4 of 5 at home), Novi Pazar 3 of 13 (0 of 6 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 50% and 40%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 45% and 46%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 47%.
Head to head. 7 meetings in 3 years, 29% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 46%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.32 (Radnicki 1923) v 0.8 (Novi Pazar) give 36%; 30% weight: 43%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 45%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.