La Liga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 15:15 UK time
CompactStats rates Racing Santander vs Real Madrid (La Liga, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 58% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with Racing Santander 25%, the draw 23% and Real Madrid 52%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | – |
| Both teams to score | 59% | Yes |
| Racing Santander win | 25% | |
| Draw | 23% | |
| Real Madrid win | 52% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 73% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 85% | |
| Goal in both halves | 63% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 9 | 78% | 67% | 67% |
| Real Madrid | 9 | 78% | 56% | 67% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 73% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 40% | 34% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 85% | 82% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 56% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 63% | 57% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 47% | 2nd 49% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 76% | 88% | 50 |
| Real Madrid | 78% | 90% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 67% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Racing Santander season stats · Real Madrid season stats · La Liga table and form
League. La Liga has had over 2.5 goals in 51% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Racing Santander 7 of 9 (4 of 4 at home), Real Madrid 7 of 9 (3 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 58% and 58%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 61% and 54%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 57%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.26 (Racing Santander) v 1.89 (Real Madrid) give 61%; 30% weight: 58%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.