NB I · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 12:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Puskas Academy vs Debreceni VSC (NB I, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 56% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with Puskas Academy 25%, the draw 24% and Debreceni VSC 52%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | – |
| Both teams to score | 58% | Yes |
| Puskas Academy win | 25% | |
| Draw | 24% | |
| Debreceni VSC win | 52% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 84% | |
| Goal in both halves | 56% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puskas Academy | 11 | 45% | 27% | 45% |
| Debreceni VSC | 11 | 45% | 36% | 55% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 39% | 39% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 84% | 86% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 44% | 49% |
| Goal in both halves | 56% | 59% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 46% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Puskas Academy | 76% | 76% | 50 |
| Debreceni VSC | 60% | 84% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 66% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Puskas Academy season stats · Debreceni VSC season stats · NB I table and form
League. NB I has had over 2.5 goals in 59% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Puskas Academy 5 of 11 (4 of 5 at home), Debreceni VSC 5 of 11 (2 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 55% and 55%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 55% and 56%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 56%.
Head to head. 9 meetings in 3 years, 44% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 56%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.2 (Puskas Academy) v 1.82 (Debreceni VSC) give 58%; 30% weight: 56%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.