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PSV/Eindhoven W vs Heerenveen W: prediction and stats

Vrouwen Eredivisie (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 15:45 UK time

70%Over 2.5 goals · our callVrouwen Eredivisie (W) average 66% · stats, not advice

CompactStats rates PSV/Eindhoven W vs Heerenveen W (Vrouwen Eredivisie (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 70% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with PSV/Eindhoven W 74%, the draw 15% and Heerenveen W 12%.

Our numbers

MarketOur chanceCall
Over 2.5 goals70%Over
Over 3.5 goals51%Over
Both teams to score56%Yes
PSV/Eindhoven W win74%Pick
Draw15%
Heerenveen W win12%
Goal in the 1st half80%
Goal in the 2nd half86%
Goal in both halves68%
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Season form

TeamGamesO2.5O3.5BTTS
PSV/Eindhoven W875%63%38%
Heerenveen W771%57%71%

First and second half

This matchLeague
Goal in the 1st half80%80%
2+ goals in the 1st half48%46%
Goal in the 2nd half86%85%
2+ goals in the 2nd half56%56%
Goal in both halves68%67%
Half with most goals2nd 44%2nd 44%
Team (own games)1st half goal2nd half goalGames
PSV/Eindhoven W80%88%50
Heerenveen W80%88%50

League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 89% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.

Head to head

26 Apr 26Heerenveen W 0–1 PSV/Eindhoven WU2.5
23 Nov 25PSV/Eindhoven W 6–0 Heerenveen WO2.5
20 Apr 25PSV/Eindhoven W 5–1 Heerenveen WO2.5
13 Oct 24Heerenveen W 0–1 PSV/Eindhoven WU2.5
20 Apr 24PSV/Eindhoven W 5–0 Heerenveen WO2.5
25 Nov 23Heerenveen W 1–3 PSV/Eindhoven WO2.5

Things worth knowing

More: PSV/Eindhoven W season stats · Heerenveen W season stats · Vrouwen Eredivisie (W) table and form

How we got 70% for over 2.5 goalsleague 66% → sides 68% / 67% → with last season 66% / 70% → mix 67% → head to head 67% → goal model 70% → 70%

League. Vrouwen Eredivisie (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 66% of its games. That is the starting point.

Each side. PSV/Eindhoven W 6 of 8 (2 of 3 at home), Heerenveen W 5 of 7 (3 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 68% and 67%.

Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 66% and 70%.

Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 67%.

Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 67% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 67%.

Goal model. Expected goals 2.95 (PSV/Eindhoven W) v 1.14 (Heerenveen W) give 77%; 30% weight: 70%.

Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.