A-League · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 08:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Perth Glory vs Adelaide United (A-League, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with Perth Glory 34%, the draw 26% and Adelaide United 39%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | – |
| Both teams to score | 57% | Yes |
| Perth Glory win | 34% | |
| Draw | 26% | |
| Adelaide United win | 39% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 75% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 84% | |
| Goal in both halves | 66% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory | 2 | 100% | 0% | 100% |
| Adelaide United | 0 | — | — | — |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 75% | 72% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 37% | 35% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 84% | 82% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 53% | 47% |
| Goal in both halves | 66% | 60% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 44% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory | 74% | 84% | 50 |
| Adelaide United | 82% | 94% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined. Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Perth Glory season stats · Adelaide United season stats · A-League table and form
League. A-League has had over 2.5 goals in 56% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Perth Glory 2 of 2, Adelaide United 0 of 0. Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 60% and 56%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 57% and 60%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 58%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 83% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 59%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.3 (Perth Glory) v 1.41 (Adelaide United) give 51%; 30% weight: 57%.
Season opener. Openers run about 2.5 points under the league norm: 54%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.