Eredivisie · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 11:15 UK time
CompactStats rates PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag (Eredivisie, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 63% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with PEC Zwolle 39%, the draw 25% and ADO Den Haag 36%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | – |
| Both teams to score | 62% | Yes |
| PEC Zwolle win | 39% | Pick |
| Draw | 25% | |
| ADO Den Haag win | 36% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 79% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 86% | |
| Goal in both halves | 67% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle | 9 | 67% | 56% | 44% |
| ADO Den Haag | 9 | 67% | 56% | 78% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 79% | 81% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 46% | 44% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 86% | 85% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 59% | 56% |
| Goal in both halves | 67% | 69% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 45% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle | 78% | 86% | 50 |
| ADO Den Haag | 74% | 88% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 83% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: PEC Zwolle season stats · ADO Den Haag season stats · Eredivisie table and form
League. Eredivisie has had over 2.5 goals in 64% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. PEC Zwolle 6 of 9 (3 of 5 at home), ADO Den Haag 6 of 9 (3 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 65% and 65%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 63% and 68%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 65%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.51 (PEC Zwolle) v 1.45 (ADO Den Haag) give 57%; 30% weight: 63%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.