Premiere Ligue (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 13:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Paris FC W vs Paris Saint Germain W (Premiere Ligue (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 60% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with Paris FC W 43%, the draw 24% and Paris Saint Germain W 34%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | Yes |
| Paris FC W win | 43% | Pick |
| Draw | 24% | |
| Paris Saint Germain W win | 34% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 75% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | |
| Goal in both halves | 62% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC W | 5 | 60% | 60% | 40% |
| Paris Saint Germain W | 6 | 33% | 33% | 17% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 75% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 40% | 40% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | 78% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 51% | 50% |
| Goal in both halves | 62% | 61% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 42% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC W | 72% | 84% | 50 |
| Paris Saint Germain W | 74% | 76% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 85% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Paris FC W season stats · Paris Saint Germain W season stats · Premiere Ligue (W) table and form
League. Premiere Ligue (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 58% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Paris FC W 3 of 5 (1 of 2 at home), Paris Saint Germain W 2 of 6 (1 of 2 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 59% and 53%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 60% and 59%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 59%.
Head to head. 9 meetings in 3 years, 44% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 58%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.75 (Paris FC W) v 1.53 (Paris Saint Germain W) give 64%; 30% weight: 60%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.