Serie B · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 18:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus (Serie B, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 53% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Palermo 70%, the draw 19% and Vicenza Virtus 11%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | Yes |
| Palermo win | 70% | Pick |
| Draw | 19% | |
| Vicenza Virtus win | 11% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 73% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | |
| Goal in both halves | 56% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo | 7 | 57% | 43% | 71% |
| Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 75% | 38% | 63% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 73% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 34% | 31% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | 78% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 43% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 56% | 55% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 44% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo | 76% | 74% | 50 |
| Vicenza Virtus | 78% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 68% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Palermo season stats · Vicenza Virtus season stats · Serie B table and form
League. Serie B has had over 2.5 goals in 49% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Palermo 4 of 7 (2 of 3 at home), Vicenza Virtus 6 of 8 (4 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 51% and 56%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 48% and 56%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 51%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.17 (Palermo) v 0.75 (Vicenza Virtus) give 56%; 30% weight: 53%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.