NWSL (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 22:00 UK time
CompactStats rates NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Utah Royals W (NWSL (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with NJ/NY Gotham FC W 45%, the draw 28% and Utah Royals W 27%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | Yes |
| NJ/NY Gotham FC W win | 45% | Pick |
| Draw | 28% | |
| Utah Royals W win | 27% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | |
| Goal in both halves | 51% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 28 | 36% | 14% | 39% |
| Utah Royals W | 29 | 62% | 24% | 62% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 38% | 38% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | 78% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 36% | 41% |
| Goal in both halves | 51% | 53% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 43% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 64% | 64% | 50 |
| Utah Royals W | 76% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 74% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: NJ/NY Gotham FC W season stats · Utah Royals W season stats · NWSL (W) table and form
League. NWSL (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 49% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. NJ/NY Gotham FC W 10 of 28 (4 of 14 at home), Utah Royals W 18 of 29 (9 of 14 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 42% and 56%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 43% and 54%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 48%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 60% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 49%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.4 (NJ/NY Gotham FC W) v 1.01 (Utah Royals W) give 44%; 30% weight: 47%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 48%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.