PSL · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 16:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Milford FC vs Sekhukhune United (PSL, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 38% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with Milford FC 43%, the draw 26% and Sekhukhune United 31%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | – |
| Both teams to score | 46% | No |
| Milford FC win | 43% | Pick |
| Draw | 26% | |
| Sekhukhune United win | 31% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 57% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 72% | |
| Goal in both halves | 41% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milford FC | 9 | 22% | 11% | 33% |
| Sekhukhune United | 8 | 25% | 13% | 38% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 57% | 59% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 22% | 23% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 72% | 70% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 33% | 30% |
| Goal in both halves | 41% | 43% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 40% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milford FC | 46% | 77% | 13 |
| Sekhukhune United | 56% | 76% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 55% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Milford FC season stats · Sekhukhune United season stats · PSL table and form
League. PSL has had over 2.5 goals in 30% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Milford FC 2 of 9 (2 of 4 at home), Sekhukhune United 2 of 8 (1 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 28% and 29%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 28% and 28%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 28%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.48 (Milford FC) v 1.22 (Sekhukhune United) give 51%; 30% weight: 35%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 38%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.