Allsvenskan · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 13:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF (Allsvenskan, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 53% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Malmo FF 35%, the draw 26% and Hammarby FF 39%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | Yes |
| Malmo FF win | 35% | |
| Draw | 26% | |
| Hammarby FF win | 39% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | |
| Goal in both halves | 56% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malmo FF | 25 | 56% | 40% | 52% |
| Hammarby FF | 24 | 50% | 29% | 46% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 37% | 36% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | 81% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 43% | 48% |
| Goal in both halves | 56% | 55% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 45% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malmo FF | 70% | 78% | 50 |
| Hammarby FF | 68% | 86% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 68% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Malmo FF season stats · Hammarby FF season stats · Allsvenskan table and form
League. Allsvenskan has had over 2.5 goals in 52% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Malmo FF 14 of 25 (10 of 13 at home), Hammarby FF 12 of 24 (4 of 12 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 54% and 51%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 53% and 52%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 53%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 60% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 53%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.35 (Malmo FF) v 1.46 (Hammarby FF) give 53%; 30% weight: 53%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.