Super Liga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 17:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda (Super Liga, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 51% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with Macva 12%, the draw 22% and FK Crvena Zvezda 65%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | – |
| Both teams to score | 48% | No |
| Macva win | 12% | |
| Draw | 22% | |
| FK Crvena Zvezda win | 65% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 73% | |
| Goal in both halves | 53% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macva | 13 | 38% | 23% | 46% |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 12 | 67% | 33% | 33% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 71% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 32% | 33% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 73% | 72% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 46% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 53% | 54% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 40% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macva | 47% | 73% | 15 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 76% | 76% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 74% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Macva season stats · FK Crvena Zvezda season stats · Super Liga table and form
League. Super Liga has had over 2.5 goals in 50% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Macva 5 of 13 (2 of 6 at home), FK Crvena Zvezda 8 of 12 (2 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 46% and 55%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 46% and 61%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 53%.
Goal model. Expected goals 0.66 (Macva) v 1.86 (FK Crvena Zvezda) give 46%; 30% weight: 51%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.