FA WSL (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 12:00 UK time
CompactStats rates London City Lionesses W vs Manchester City W (FA WSL (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 59% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with London City Lionesses W 25%, the draw 24% and Manchester City W 51%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | – |
| Both teams to score | 58% | Yes |
| London City Lionesses W win | 25% | |
| Draw | 24% | |
| Manchester City W win | 51% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 76% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | |
| Goal in both halves | 62% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| London City Lionesses W | 6 | 83% | 33% | 83% |
| Manchester City W | 6 | 83% | 83% | 83% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 76% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 43% | 37% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | 76% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 50% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 62% | 58% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 42% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| London City Lionesses W | 74% | 86% | 50 |
| Manchester City W | 80% | 84% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 79% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: London City Lionesses W season stats · Manchester City W season stats · FA WSL (W) table and form
League. FA WSL (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 55% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. London City Lionesses W 5 of 6 (2 of 3 at home), Manchester City W 5 of 6 (1 of 2 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 61% and 61%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 56% and 63%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 59%.
Head to head. 2 meetings in 3 years, 100% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 61%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.16 (London City Lionesses W) v 1.78 (Manchester City W) give 56%; 30% weight: 59%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.