Pro League · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 17:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Lommel United vs Gent (Pro League, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 49% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Lommel United 31%, the draw 28% and Gent 41%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | Yes |
| Lommel United win | 31% | |
| Draw | 28% | |
| Gent win | 41% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 72% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | |
| Goal in both halves | 57% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lommel United | 8 | 38% | 38% | 25% |
| Gent | 8 | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 72% | 72% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 34% | 36% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 39% | 46% |
| Goal in both halves | 57% | 56% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 42% | 2nd 41% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lommel United | 65% | 74% | 23 |
| Gent | 78% | 70% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 79% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Lommel United season stats · Gent season stats · Pro League table and form
League. Pro League has had over 2.5 goals in 52% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Lommel United 3 of 8 (1 of 4 at home), Gent 4 of 8 (2 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 48% and 51%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 48% and 50%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 50%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.13 (Lommel United) v 1.36 (Gent) give 45%; 30% weight: 48%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 49%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.