Super League · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 15:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis (Super League, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with Levadiakos 52%, the draw 24% and Aris Thessalonikis 24%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | Yes |
| Levadiakos win | 52% | Pick |
| Draw | 24% | |
| Aris Thessalonikis win | 24% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | |
| Goal in both halves | 57% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levadiakos | 7 | 14% | 14% | 0% |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 7 | 71% | 43% | 57% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | 71% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 30% | 33% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 47% | 43% |
| Goal in both halves | 57% | 55% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 42% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levadiakos | 76% | 86% | 50 |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 62% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 73% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Levadiakos season stats · Aris Thessalonikis season stats · Super League table and form
League. Super League has had over 2.5 goals in 49% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Levadiakos 1 of 7 (0 of 4 at home), Aris Thessalonikis 5 of 7 (3 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 41% and 54%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 55% and 44%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 49%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 67% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 50%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.75 (Levadiakos) v 1.12 (Aris Thessalonikis) give 55%; 30% weight: 52%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.