Serie A (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 11:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Inter Milano W vs Lazio W (Serie A (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 57% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Inter Milano W 67%, the draw 19% and Lazio W 14%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | Yes |
| Inter Milano W win | 67% | Pick |
| Draw | 19% | |
| Lazio W win | 14% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | |
| Goal in both halves | 56% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milano W | 3 | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| Lazio W | 3 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | 68% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 34% | 32% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 47% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 56% | 53% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 44% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milano W | 82% | 80% | 50 |
| Lazio W | 62% | 82% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 72% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Inter Milano W season stats · Lazio W season stats · Serie A (W) table and form
League. Serie A (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 51% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Inter Milano W 1 of 3 (1 of 2 at home), Lazio W 1 of 3 (1 of 2 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 49% and 49%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 59% and 52%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 54%.
Head to head. 4 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 54%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.33 (Inter Milano W) v 0.98 (Lazio W) give 64%; 30% weight: 57%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.