Super Liga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 17:00 UK time
CompactStats rates IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki (Super Liga, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 43% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with IMT Novi Beograd 45%, the draw 31% and Cukaricki 24%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | – |
| Both teams to score | 48% | No |
| IMT Novi Beograd win | 45% | Pick |
| Draw | 31% | |
| Cukaricki win | 24% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 72% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 70% | |
| Goal in both halves | 51% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMT Novi Beograd | 13 | 31% | 8% | 38% |
| Cukaricki | 13 | 62% | 38% | 38% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 72% | 71% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 32% | 33% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 70% | 72% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 37% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 51% | 54% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 41% | 2nd 40% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMT Novi Beograd | 64% | 66% | 50 |
| Cukaricki | 84% | 64% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 74% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: IMT Novi Beograd season stats · Cukaricki season stats · Super Liga table and form
League. Super Liga has had over 2.5 goals in 50% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. IMT Novi Beograd 4 of 13 (1 of 6 at home), Cukaricki 8 of 13 (4 of 6 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 43% and 54%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 43% and 51%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 48%.
Head to head. 7 meetings in 3 years, 14% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 46%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.17 (IMT Novi Beograd) v 0.78 (Cukaricki) give 31%; 30% weight: 41%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 43%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.