1. Lig · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 13:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Iğdır FK vs Antalyaspor (1. Lig, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 49% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with Iğdır FK 34%, the draw 29% and Antalyaspor 37%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | – |
| Both teams to score | 50% | No |
| Iğdır FK win | 34% | |
| Draw | 29% | Pick |
| Antalyaspor win | 37% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | |
| Goal in both halves | 57% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iğdır FK | 12 | 42% | 17% | 42% |
| Antalyaspor | 11 | 64% | 27% | 45% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | 71% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 36% | 37% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | 80% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 49% | 50% |
| Goal in both halves | 57% | 58% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 44% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iğdır FK | 72% | 82% | 50 |
| Antalyaspor | 66% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 71% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Iğdır FK season stats · Antalyaspor season stats · 1. Lig table and form
League. 1. Lig has had over 2.5 goals in 52% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Iğdır FK 5 of 12 (2 of 6 at home), Antalyaspor 7 of 11 (1 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 49% and 56%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 51% and 52%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 52%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.1 (Iğdır FK) v 1.16 (Antalyaspor) give 39%; 30% weight: 48%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 49%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.