Allsvenskan · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 15:30 UK time
CompactStats rates IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS (Allsvenskan, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 57% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with IF Elfsborg 75%, the draw 16% and Orgryte IS 9%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | Yes |
| IF Elfsborg win | 75% | Pick |
| Draw | 16% | |
| Orgryte IS win | 9% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 71% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 82% | |
| Goal in both halves | 59% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Elfsborg | 25 | 48% | 20% | 60% |
| Orgryte IS | 24 | 58% | 38% | 58% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 71% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 33% | 36% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 82% | 80% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 52% | 48% |
| Goal in both halves | 59% | 55% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 45% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| IF Elfsborg | 70% | 84% | 50 |
| Orgryte IS | 76% | 84% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 68% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: IF Elfsborg season stats · Orgryte IS season stats · Allsvenskan table and form
League. Allsvenskan has had over 2.5 goals in 52% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. IF Elfsborg 12 of 25 (5 of 13 at home), Orgryte IS 14 of 24 (7 of 12 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 50% and 55%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 53% and 54%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 53%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.54 (IF Elfsborg) v 0.79 (Orgryte IS) give 65%; 30% weight: 57%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.