Serie B · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 16:15 UK time
CompactStats rates Hellas Verona vs Carrarese (Serie B, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with Hellas Verona 55%, the draw 23% and Carrarese 21%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | – |
| Both teams to score | 55% | Yes |
| Hellas Verona win | 55% | Pick |
| Draw | 23% | |
| Carrarese win | 21% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 67% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | |
| Goal in both halves | 56% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona | 7 | 86% | 57% | 86% |
| Carrarese | 7 | 29% | 0% | 43% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 67% | 70% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 30% | 31% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | 78% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 48% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 56% | 55% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 44% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona | 62% | 80% | 50 |
| Carrarese | 64% | 80% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 68% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Hellas Verona season stats · Carrarese season stats · Serie B table and form
League. Serie B has had over 2.5 goals in 49% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Hellas Verona 6 of 7 (4 of 4 at home), Carrarese 2 of 7 (0 of 3 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 57% and 44%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 51% and 49%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 50%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.87 (Hellas Verona) v 1.07 (Carrarese) give 56%; 30% weight: 52%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.