Serie A · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 14:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Frosinone vs Torino (Serie A, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 53% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Frosinone 44%, the draw 25% and Torino 31%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | Yes |
| Frosinone win | 44% | Pick |
| Draw | 25% | |
| Torino win | 31% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 71% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | |
| Goal in both halves | 57% |
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| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 71% | 66% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 33% | 29% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | 78% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 45% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 57% | 53% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 46% |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 69% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Frosinone season stats · Torino season stats · Serie A table and form
League. Serie A has had over 2.5 goals in 48% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Frosinone 4 of 7 (2 of 4 at home), Torino 6 of 8 (3 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 50% and 55%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 54% and 56%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 53%.
Head to head. 2 meetings in 3 years, 0% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 51%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.64 (Frosinone) v 1.33 (Torino) give 57%; 30% weight: 53%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.