NB I · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 15:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks (NB I, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 58% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with Ferencvarosi TC 50%, the draw 24% and Paks 25%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | – |
| Both teams to score | 59% | Yes |
| Ferencvarosi TC win | 50% | Pick |
| Draw | 24% | |
| Paks win | 25% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 68% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 87% | |
| Goal in both halves | 59% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvarosi TC | 10 | 50% | 30% | 60% |
| Paks | 11 | 64% | 45% | 64% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 68% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 39% | 39% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 87% | 86% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 50% | 49% |
| Goal in both halves | 59% | 59% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 46% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvarosi TC | 66% | 86% | 50 |
| Paks | 68% | 92% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 66% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Ferencvarosi TC season stats · Paks season stats · NB I table and form
League. NB I has had over 2.5 goals in 59% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Ferencvarosi TC 5 of 10 (2 of 4 at home), Paks 7 of 11 (2 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 56% and 60%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 61% and 60%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 60%.
Head to head. 9 meetings in 3 years, 56% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 60%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.73 (Ferencvarosi TC) v 1.15 (Paks) give 55%; 30% weight: 58%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.