Challenge League · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 13:00 UK time
CompactStats rates FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur (Challenge League, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 60% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with FC WIL 1900 35%, the draw 25% and FC Winterthur 39%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | – |
| Both teams to score | 57% | Yes |
| FC WIL 1900 win | 35% | |
| Draw | 25% | |
| FC Winterthur win | 39% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 74% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 82% | |
| Goal in both halves | 64% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC WIL 1900 | 11 | 64% | 55% | 64% |
| FC Winterthur | 11 | 64% | 45% | 36% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 74% | 72% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 46% | 47% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 82% | 81% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 50% | 47% |
| Goal in both halves | 64% | 60% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 42% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC WIL 1900 | 70% | 74% | 50 |
| FC Winterthur | 84% | 94% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 77% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: FC WIL 1900 season stats · FC Winterthur season stats · Challenge League table and form
League. Challenge League has had over 2.5 goals in 62% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. FC WIL 1900 7 of 11 (4 of 5 at home), FC Winterthur 7 of 11 (2 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 62% and 62%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 56% and 68%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 62%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.4 (FC WIL 1900) v 1.5 (FC Winterthur) give 55%; 30% weight: 60%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.