3. Liga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 12:30 UK time
CompactStats rates FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim (3. Liga, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with FC Saarbrücken 44%, the draw 22% and Waldhof Mannheim 35%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | – |
| Both teams to score | 65% | Yes |
| FC Saarbrücken win | 44% | Pick |
| Draw | 22% | |
| Waldhof Mannheim win | 35% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 77% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | |
| Goal in both halves | 63% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Saarbrücken | 10 | 70% | 60% | 70% |
| Waldhof Mannheim | 10 | 60% | 30% | 50% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 77% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 41% | 44% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | 82% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 52% | 53% |
| Goal in both halves | 63% | 64% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 44% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Saarbrücken | 76% | 74% | 50 |
| Waldhof Mannheim | 80% | 86% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 78% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: FC Saarbrücken season stats · Waldhof Mannheim season stats · 3. Liga table and form
League. 3. Liga has had over 2.5 goals in 64% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. FC Saarbrücken 7 of 10 (4 of 5 at home), Waldhof Mannheim 6 of 10 (3 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 65% and 63%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 57% and 65%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 61%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 40% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 60%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.02 (FC Saarbrücken) v 1.79 (Waldhof Mannheim) give 73%; 30% weight: 64%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.