Premiership · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 13:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Falkirk vs Celtic (Premiership, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 59% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with Falkirk 20%, the draw 21% and Celtic 60%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | – |
| Both teams to score | 55% | Yes |
| Falkirk win | 20% | |
| Draw | 21% | |
| Celtic win | 60% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 79% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | |
| Goal in both halves | 66% |
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| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 79% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 42% | 35% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | 79% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 45% | 46% |
| Goal in both halves | 66% | 63% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 41% | 2nd 39% |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 85% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Falkirk season stats · Celtic season stats · Premiership table and form
League. Premiership has had over 2.5 goals in 53% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Falkirk 6 of 10 (4 of 5 at home), Celtic 6 of 10 (3 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 55% and 55%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 55% and 60%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 57%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 60% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 57%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.18 (Falkirk) v 2.19 (Celtic) give 65%; 30% weight: 59%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.