Serie B · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 14:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Empoli vs Juve Stabia (Serie B, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 48% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with Empoli 35%, the draw 28% and Juve Stabia 37%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | – |
| Both teams to score | 54% | Yes |
| Empoli win | 35% | |
| Draw | 28% | Pick |
| Juve Stabia win | 37% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 80% | |
| Goal in both halves | 55% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 8 | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Juve Stabia | 7 | 43% | 0% | 57% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 31% | 31% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 80% | 79% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 47% | 46% |
| Goal in both halves | 55% | 55% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 45% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 66% | 88% | 50 |
| Juve Stabia | 70% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 66% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Empoli season stats · Juve Stabia season stats · Serie B table and form
League. Serie B has had over 2.5 goals in 49% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Empoli 3 of 8 (1 of 4 at home), Juve Stabia 3 of 7 (1 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 46% and 48%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 48% and 47%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 48%.
Head to head. 2 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 48%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.19 (Empoli) v 1.24 (Juve Stabia) give 44%; 30% weight: 47%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 48%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.